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At Due Diligence Capital Notes, I believe that superior returns are generated through dissenting from the consensus when the consensus is wrong. My approach combines top-down macroeconomic analysis with bottom-up fundamental equities research, focusing heavily on cash flows and capital cycle theory.

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Recent Notes

The latest deep-dives and market commentary.

Strategy2026-06-109 min read

Strategy Inc. Shareholders Signal Governance Concerns Over Retroactive Preferred Stock Changes

At Strategy Inc.'s June 2026 annual meeting, a proposal to retroactively ratify a preferred stock amendment—filed with Delaware in July 2025 without prior shareholder approval—drew 10.4% opposition, more than three times the resistance to executive pay. The vote surfaces governance tensions within Strategy's four-series preferred stock architecture, which funds its leveraged Bitcoin accumulation but raises questions about whether management will maintain institutional trust as it structures future capital raises.

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Korea2026-06-1010 min read

Hyundai Motor: Georgia Plant Ramp Positions Company for a Second-Half Margin Recovery

Hyundai's Q1 2026 operating profit dropped 30.8% year-over-year after absorbing KRW 860 billion in US tariff costs on Korean-assembled vehicles, even as revenue hit a record and hybrid sales reached an all-time quarterly high. The $12.6 billion Georgia Metaplant, now producing tariff-exempt IONIQ 5 and IONIQ 9 vehicles, is ramping toward 500,000 annual units — a structural shift that should materially reduce US tariff exposure by the second half of 2026, a dynamic the current valuation does not appear to reflect.

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ASTS2026-06-1010 min read

AST SpaceMobile's $3 Billion Infrastructure Bet: Cash, Debt, and a Lost Satellite

AST SpaceMobile raised $1.075 billion in convertible debt in early 2026 and holds roughly $3 billion in cash, yet its SpaceMobile Service segment has recognized zero revenue while burning over $400 million per quarter. A $155 million Block 2 satellite was destroyed in April after a launch vehicle failure, adding schedule risk to a $1.2 billion backlog of carrier contracts that cannot be invoiced until sufficient constellation coverage is operational.

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